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Market Feasibility Study  - Adult Senior Living Market Study

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Revised:  11/11/2011

Senior Living Market Feasibility Study

 

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Skilled Nursing -  Assisted Living - Independent Living - Alzheimer

Adult Senior Living
MARKET FEASIBILITY STUDY

3 TYPES - Adult Senior Living Market Feasibility Study
Before investing or expanding, verify there is sufficient economic and demographic demand for your senior living community. There are three (3) different types of market feasibility studies for adult senior living residential care facilities which includes Active Adults, Independent Living, Assisted Living, Skilled Nursing or memory care (Alzheimer / Dementia). Each market feasibility study has a different use and application. An overview of each study is provided below. In today's economic climate, select a market research and consulting firm who has hands-on experience operating a senior facility with current knowledge about senior housing trends, financial forecasting capability and consumer research. Typical quantitative market feasibility analysis used successfully by many research firms in the past may not accurately forecast true new unit demand for today's economic climate. Don't buy the cheapest market study. Purchase the market study from an experienced researcher who provides intricate detail needed to forecast the potential economic viability of your project needed for financing, investors and real-world development of your project. Our clients include REIT, real estate developers, venture capital firms, hospitality corporations and operators of senior living communities. seeking to repurpose or convert hotels and commercial property to adult senior living communities.

STUDY 1 STUDY 2 STUDY 3    

  
GEOGRAPHIC AREA SEARCH
Find good development locations
 

  
PRELIMINARY
Market Study
 


COMPREHENSIVE
Market Feasibility Study

   

STUDY 1: GEOGRAPHIC AREA SEARCH FOR MULTIPLE SITES SUITABLE FOR NEW DEVELOPMENT
WHY USE THIS TYPE OF STUDY? A large Geographic Area Search (GAP Analysis) such as a 200 zip code metropolitan area is intended to locate several possible locations with adequate demand for developing a senior community based on age and income qualified seniors. We tell you where there is strong demand for new senior apartments and which areas to avoid.  Who Uses This Study? An owner, investor or developer of adult senior living facilities seeking to build or purchase a senior community in a particular metropolitan area. Research canvasses the large geographical area - - perhaps a 40 mile wide territory. You receive estimates of the strongest zip codes exhibiting the best senior living potential. You can determine which of several locations exhibit the best potential for development when considering factors such as affordable real estate and favorable zoning.

STUDY 2: PRELIMINARY MARKET STUDY
WHO USES TYPE OF STUDY? Senior community owner, facility management company, investors; real estate company; REIT, hospitality company with hotel or commercial property conversion. WHY USE THIS TYPE OF STUDY? A preliminary Market Feasibility Study is an economical way to provide initial preliminary insight as to the potential financial viability of a specific site's suitability for development. A Preliminary Market Study answers the initial question "Does this investment make economic sense?" Or is the project a Go / No Go? The elements below are provided.
 
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Estimate viability of location to attract seniors

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Preliminary identification and assessment of key competition

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Estimate demand for different types of housing (independent, assisted living, Alzheimer)

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Estimate likely room rental rates for this location

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Estimate room sizes and room mix (Studio vs. 1 bedroom units)

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Optional preliminary financial forecasts to determine if sufficient cash flow and profitability potential exists for this possible project.

          Call or Email us for pricing or more information

STUDY 3: COMPREHENSIVE MARKET FEASIBILITY STUDY
WHO USES TYPE OF STUDY? Any investor anticipating new facility development, expansion or refurbishing of an existing facility or hotel conversion. This study is also used as part of a loan package required by venture capital investors and lenders including HUD.  WHY USE THIS TYPE OF STUDY? A Comprehensive Market Feasibility study is more thorough than a Preliminary Study utilizing extensive on-site analysis and surveying by researchers. The analysis looks beyond typical quantitative demand estimates and calculates current economic conditions considering consumer research to provide a conservative recommendation for what type and what quantity of new senior apartments to develop. Hotel conversions also require a high degree of analysis because the location may have negatives which must be overcome to attract senior residents. The accuracy and validity of market research data is very high and includes intrinsic charts, analysis, forecasts, room size and amenities recommendations, timetables to achieve breakeven and optional 10 year P & L exhibiting EBITDARM and cash flow. This study can be provided to architects to prepare floor plans and elevations for submission to local zoning and department of health as well as to solicit bids from general contractors.

 
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Area Analysis: Market trends; physical & psychological barriers; traffic pattern constraints

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Site Analysis: Does this site location possess characteristics that attract seniors

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Demographic Trends: Senior populations, current and future, forecast needs & wants

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Senior Housing and Local Market Conditions and Future Trends:

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Analysis of existing competitive units and planned Facilities:

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Quantification of Senior Housing Demand by Product Type and Market Segmentation

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Market Feasibility Report: Write-up and analysis with recommendations:
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Demand estimates with quantity of new units in demand by age - income qualified seniors

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Room sizes and configuration

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Different types of rooms warranted - Independent, Assisted, Alzheimer, Skilled Nursing

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Recommended pricing including ownership & rental options, when applicable

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Estimate demand for different types of housing (independent, assisted living, Alzheimer)

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Amenities necessary for competitive advantage including architectural design

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Timetable for facility to achieve positive cash flow / breakeven (absorption rate)

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Optional Profit & Loss 10 Year Forecast
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Breakeven - when it will occur - working capital required

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Construction and start-up cost estimates

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Cash Flow and EBITDARM estimates

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Optional Consumer Research: To verify adult seniors willingness to move to this facility and why

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Optional Brain Trauma, VA Assisted Living Beds, Medicaid/Medicare beds needed & Other Niche Market Demand Analysis: Demand estimates of demand for Brain Trauma, Autism or VA AL beds are available for many USA markets. (Call for details)
 
Call or Email us for pricing or more information

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Why Choose Us?
Langworthy Company and our associates have owned, operated or provided contract management services for many senior living facilities. Analysts have almost 30 years of Elder Care Housing Analysis and Demand Forecast experience. In addition, we offer experienced advice in the areas of management consulting, finance and accounting, facility operation, sales marketing along with business improvement recommendations. We can provide meaningful assistance to help with selecting appropriate architectural design; facility construction oversight; establishing operational and accounting systems and procedures necessary for state licensing and business operation startup; marketing and sales of room rentals / room ownership; and facility contract management, if applicable. We also advice many hospital corporations evaluating senior living investments including conversion of hotels into adult senior residential care communities. If you are seeking a market research company who also currently oversees day-in and day-out senior living operations, please choose Langworthy Company as your Market Feasibility, Consulting and Development partner. Call or Email us today . . . without pressure or obligation.

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